Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.039039 0.042622 0.046256 0.050209 0.054383 0.058652 0.063341
2025-07-27 0.033406 0.038650 0.044165 0.050372 0.057138 0.064265 0.072315
2025-08-03 0.029598 0.036066 0.043092 0.051231 0.060340 0.070165 0.081506
2025-08-10 0.024814 0.031884 0.039816 0.049266 0.060112 0.072069 0.086148
2025-08-17 0.021716 0.029294 0.038046 0.048734 0.061266 0.075340 0.092183
2025-08-24 0.019130 0.027048 0.036451 0.048198 0.062246 0.078282 0.097748
2025-08-31 0.017911 0.026338 0.036577 0.049607 0.065430 0.083724 0.106177
2025-09-07 0.016663 0.025468 0.036408 0.050575 0.068028 0.088448 0.113762
2025-09-14 0.015412 0.024482 0.035999 0.051170 0.070119 0.092536 0.120586
2025-09-21 0.014126 0.023342 0.035306 0.051333 0.071621 0.095881 0.126508
2025-09-28 0.013477 0.023013 0.035619 0.052736 0.074639 0.101051 0.134630
2025-10-05 0.012102 0.021562 0.034363 0.052045 0.074973 0.102910 0.138730
2025-10-12 0.011073 0.020560 0.033686 0.052110 0.076296 0.106046 0.144485
2025-10-19 0.010394 0.020023 0.033608 0.052944 0.078595 0.110403 0.151766
2025-10-26 0.009895 0.019719 0.033830 0.054166 0.081396 0.115401 0.159873
2025-11-02 0.008503 0.017915 0.031831 0.052286 0.080080 0.115170 0.161461
2025-11-09 0.007646 0.016891 0.030894 0.051811 0.080569 0.117195 0.165845
2025-11-16 0.006858 0.015910 0.029961 0.051292 0.080961 0.119069 0.170025
2025-11-23 0.006637 0.015879 0.030446 0.052779 0.084061 0.124446 0.178662
2025-11-30 0.006319 0.015651 0.030611 0.053797 0.086523 0.129006 0.186283
2025-12-07 0.005934 0.015270 0.030515 0.054422 0.088441 0.132862 0.193020
2025-12-14 0.005479 0.014720 0.030126 0.054594 0.089720 0.135877 0.198688
2025-12-21 0.005324 0.014725 0.030612 0.056058 0.092797 0.141271 0.207440